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Postponement 2020 - Lars Cederholm

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Warm Greetings,

In an irresistible urge I feel that I want to reach out to you hoping that you are in a good and safe place. Many of our friends out there in the world are busy looking over their own resources and coping with a revolution facing each one of us, regardless where we are and who we are. This morning I wrote to a friend in England trying to express something about Anna and myself and some general rambling about the world at large. It was good to just write and write so I just keep going……

I, the happy and incurably dizzy, self-proclaimed poet is challenged to sit here in my pleasant cage, peeking at the world through my own eyes, now in need of a serious check up. We are looking everywhere, local media, radio and TV, touching friends, surfing for information; different stuff, like f.ex. how people have avoided famine historically? That’s at the base of respect for older people in China who would be able to teach the young from experience of periodic failed harvests. Anna has a few things to say about facing a very serious shortage of food and I was around to see that for myself in Moscow 1990. Here is Anna's list from her experience at the time: Salt, toothpaste, soap, toilet paper and clarify butter for long storage life and cut and dry bread and pack in linen sacks, store hanging. Hope you don’t have to take this advise of self-protection from famine. We just have to find ways of stopping the panic. I worry when I see someone filling the whole car with toilet paper. It smells trouble, no pun intended.

Our days are busy, albeit in some new ways. Now Anna and I take some brisk nature walks together, more so than before. Just back from one of these walks reflecting on people who, like Anna and myself, were experimenting with ground rules for interpersonal distance, in this case while walking in nature. The government recommendation for interpersonal distance is, 6 ft. Or 1.80 m, may well save many from a whole range of new calibration of social rituals where distance is the meta language and also a sign language revealing differences in class and education. 

I keep flipping between the somber tone of reason pouring our of Swedish P.Radio and TV. And over to CNN, BBC etc. Suddenly a whole new Olymp of technocrats and many young people are showing up in the media, representing institutes that most people didn’t even know exist. The need for facts has taken the forefront and I, we, must calibrate our senses, instincts and emotions as we try to make sense of this huge domino in rapid motion as we speak. A great majority of people living here in Swedes trust that we have good leaders to help us through this. People in Sweden may not be so formidable as individuals but they are pretty good, level headed system thinkers so that will help us to navigate to a new future in this little country of ours. Right now every Schengen country has closed its borders. I am not even allowed to go to Copenhagen in Denmark which is in some ways an intricate part of Malmö, with a busy bridge between us. Who would ever believe that we would see this day?

When this is all over, I hope we will have a much better understanding of what a country is for in the face of a deep crises and how we can build a better EU and a better world? Differentiation before an even stronger European integration I hope! Flipping to the shrill tone in the US and (the unlovely and inappropriate) Trump who, just a week ago, was fabricating political propaganda for his re-election mixed in with his own version of facts; Just like commercial TV where the real goal is marketing of products and services and content is there to pretend otherwise. Not so good when a strong US leadership is needed.
Would it not be nice if people competing for power and influence can to stop using slander, spinning facts and twisting quotes. Now if ever is a good time for authentic behaviour based on science and facts, set in a frame of wisdom.

I think it is fair to say that we have a more solid health care infrastructure in most of Europe (one payer system and all the rest of it) to deal with this mess, more integrated than in the more fragmented health care business in the US and the Global South. The different systems of health care will reveal the pros and cons under pressure and we must learn together as we move along. Regrettably, Italy is a wake up lesson to us all to be faster in how to take use the authority of the state to avoid that the health care systems implode. I some places the critically ill are flooding the capacity to care and it is so sad to think about these tragedies. 

I can’t help to speculate about the loose ends of it all and I, like you and everybody else, am flooded by questions about where the chips will be falling next; what new people will float up to power and influence in our societies? Have we passed the stage where people will come with the pitched forks as a way of alleviating fear and envy? Can we cooperate and globalise in new ways and can we use the lessons so far to the benefit of all? This is a bit like the Apollo project when a group solved an “impossible” problem to save the lives of the astronauts using some good Yankee ingenuity. Now we must problem solve on a global scale. How will phoenix, the ultimate symbol of strength and renewal, rise out of the ashes? Some of the lessons du jour are obvious, other covered by emotions etc. And the rest of it will be some great surprises. And for many vulnerable people it is about life and death so we all know … this is not a simulation. A man or woman without clothes must learn how to weave! Looking at our human history, we have good reason to believe that a whole new dimension of opportunities will unfold, perhaps more subtle and more difficult to detect this time? 

How long will the tax money keep countries and companies shut down and pay for business losses and salaries? No dog has a tail that measures two meters!! … My guess: People like me (77 with a diagnosed untreated astma or some other respiratory problems etc.) must stay away from public life for a time to be determined. They, me, we who are at serious risk of loosing our lives will need compassionate support from the abled. For the rest of us, … we need to get out, go back to work and work together. We all must learn how to be with each other (no sneezing, no nose picking etc.) and let nature immunise us all. This is of course controversial to say and I am sure we can have some meaningful exchanges in how to develop plan B and C. For most people this Covi-19 is no difference than the flu in terms of its impact! Including the untested cases world wide representing a significant number, mortality may be as low as 0,3%.of the people contaminated. 

Please don’t forget! Now the birds have started to build their nests, flowers are popping up everywhere, trees turn green and the sun is shining. We are breathing fresh air.

Love from your friends Lars (who is writing a science fiction book) and Anna (who paints and paints) with profound prayers that we will all be safe and come out of this much wiser and happier. 

May all the people who are sick be free from sickness, may the nations of the earth live in harmony, may pure conduct and merit increase, may we all be free from fear! 

Lars Cederholm

Postponement 2020 - Fiona Stewart

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Dear Yury and team

These are very challenging times for all of us around the world. The curve is ramping up here in Australia and whilst we have some good measures in place as a nation, sadly it does not feel like quite enough.

I am thinking of those in other parts of the world, Chantal in France, Karl-Georg in Germany, Michellana in the US and yourself in Canada. I hope you and your families are all keeping well.

I completely understand and support your decision to postpone and will happily put the 2021 dates in my diary. In the meantime I would be delighted to stay connected with the community globally through virtual means, and participate in, and/or present a virtual webinar.

I look forward to hearing more.
Best ‘virtual’ regards
Fiona

Virtual Coaching

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Coaching Circles from a Safe Distance

I hope that everyone is safe and dealing well with this current shock to our inner and outer worlds. As I imagine being the case in your own settings and your own coaching practice, I have shifted all of my interactions with clients to the web, including the 4 coaching circles I am currently leading with participants from across the world. We had been holding these sessions live until early February, even though occasionally some participants were joining through Zoom for different reasons.

I thought I would share some initial reflections on my experience in leading coaching circles through Zoom, hoping they might give you a sense of the feasibility of the approach but also to gather any thoughts and advice you may have for those venturing into delivering online coaching circles for the first time. Please feel free to contribute in any way you can! I am using Zoom but I am sure that what follows also applies to using other videoconference platforms.

To cut right to the chase, I can say that video conferencing works extremely well for coaching circles. I have been doing such sessions for at least 10 years (well before Skype and Zoom came along) and it is possible to create through this medium a wonderfully supportive and caring environment for collaborating, sharing and achieving the purpose of coaching circles. How does that happen (in 5 key points)?

1. Inherent structure of coaching circles a big plus

The very structure of a session is really conducive to collaboration. There are clear phases to a coaching circle session: connecting (i.e. checking in), coaching (i.e. the airtimes) and completing (i.e. sharing around learning themes and how the day went). The 4 stages of each airtime also guide participants really well on what is expected of everyone (i.e. the coaching request, the collaborative inquiry, the solo reflection and the voicing). That kind of structure is not always so clear in regular meetings over the web but it is definitely an advantage in the coaching circle configuration. This is an observation the participants have made repeatedly in the coaching circles I lead.

2. Technology + Behaviours

The quality of the technology these days means that the faces and upper bodies of people on the video conference call are very clear. One can easily observe reactions, impulses and the subtle moves people make when they reflect, when they want to engage, when they need help formulating a question, and so on. From one’s screen, you can see everyone in a matrix configuration and everyone is “close in” (sometimes even more than in a physical setting).

All that’s needed sometimes is for people to slightly exaggerate their movements (e.g. raising a hand or giving a thumb’s up) so that they can be clearly seen when they want to speak, make a particular request or acknowledge a request made by the client or the facilitator-coach. I have also found that the “hand raise” and “chat” features on Zoom to be particularly useful when one of the participants wants to call attention to something important to them, either publicly or privately to me as the facilitator-coach or to another member of the group. I have also “shared my screen” when presenting a model or a distinction to support the group in their work. What I’ve learned with the shared screen feature is to have your document already open and ready to share on your desktop to facilitate its introduction to the group.

One of the behaviours I also find helpful is to ask everyone to slow down just a bit to allow for any lag in transmission to be integrated in the process. This minor adjustment has helped to minimize interruptions and confusion.

3. Feedback Loop

I have integrated into the process, especially at the beginning, a frequent “quick check” on how we are doing in working through the new online medium. Through this, we have been able to make any adjustments needed to ensure everyone is taking full advantage of the process. In the same spirit of continuous learning, I also have asked people to share any lessons learned from working through this medium elsewhere.

4. Purposeful Socializing

All of the participants on the coaching circles I lead remotely have said that getting together to talk, learn and work their issues and challenges has been extremely helpful, especially in this current period of mandated isolation. I’d call it “purposeful socializing”. Our gatherings have generated a much-needed sense of connection and solidarity in a time where the meaning of “relating” is being stretched into new territory. Those who had any resistance to moving from a live to a virtual setting quickly adjusted to our new way of working even if they, like many of us, long for a good hug!

5. Setting Up for Success

I’d say that my usual discipline of preparing each group for their coaching circle session and following-up with relevant articles, practices and the like is also contributing to sustaining the momentum of learning and support in and around our time together. I should also mention that the four coaching circles I am currently working with have had many opportunities to meet in person already, i.e. prior to the move to video conferencing. This is probably quite an advantage over groups who may be getting started in this virtual environment. So it may take a bit of extra sensitivity to build the trusting environment needed for people to feel comfortable in this setting, but I see this as a minor challenge, not a hazard. The care needed to set up a group for success in the first place still applies, e.g. through individual meetings with participants.

Invitation

I hope this is helpful! I would really appreciate any feedback, comments and ideas you could share with our community about working, collaborating and learning in this exciting virtual environment.

Find out more about coaching circles by visiting: [link]

Digital Transformation, survival in a fast-changing economy!

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In complex systems, if speed of change is faster than learning of your workforce, you face business transformation.

Digital was introduced in the 50’s (computer systems), industrialized in the 80’s (CIM – Computer Integrated Manufacturing) promises with AI and Robots were premature, failed fast with e-Business with the IT Bubble (Nasdaq Crash) in 2000, reinvented IT Systems (Cloud based) in 2010 with Data driven (i.e. Google, Facebook, Apple, Amazon) business models – therefore digital change is not a surprise, it will change business faster (now in < 1 year) than the speed of corporate learning (< 6 month).

Transformation changes Innovation, Culture and Society
Most companies see digital transformation solely as technology and economic improvements. Innovation in the digital economy changes cultures and societies.
Companies continuing to invest in technologies and not in people, improving their processes and not changing their leadership (culture), leveraging assets and concentrating on complicated problems end up in Crisis Management.
In digital economies with internet, everyone is ONline and connected, has access to knowledge, almost free of charge and everywhere. Smart devices allow to interact worldwide, using highly scalable e-Commerce platforms (Amazon, eBay) to provide digital business solutions. Exponential growth opportunities (“Singularity is near”) requires transformation to billion-dollar business models (disruptive), Systems Thinking allows to manage complexity and consumer behaviors with cross industry supply chains (digital ecosystems), approaching unlimited compute power (neural networks), unlimited resources in real time and infinite access to worldwide customers.

Change vs. Agility Management:
Consumers gain more power: Leading companies struggle to adapt to transformation, still using Change Management methodologies to execute their strategies. Governments have failed to adapt their infrastructures to digital opportunities (5G, e-Government): revolutionary mobility solutions with green energy and consumer markets shift rapidly; many workers will lose employability and incomes. This is Transformation not Change, Problem Solving replaced by Systems Thinking becomes the key differentiator in business strategies.

Innovation: Digital is nothing new, it exists for more than 50 years – transformation is nothing new, in the last 1000 years we globalized, mobilized, industrialized and now we digitize. The only difference is the speed of change to adapt with innovation, culture and society. There is no option, there is no choice, face reality and react (innovate).

Culture: If companies had a life time of 50 to 100 years (replacement in Indexes ie DJI, DAX) in a specific market, now the life time is down to 20 – 30 years in classic business systems and more than 80% startups exit in 3-5 years. Change Management is no more appropriate, companies have to reinvent themselves at high speed.

Society: Societies and Cultures were homogeneous, now they become heterogenous mixing values and beliefs. Political systems struggle to set policies and governments, building Trade Zones and leaving companies in uncertainty entering a a share economy.

Digital transformation is not evolutionary or incremental, therefore optimization with Change Management will produce high cost, slow improvements and high competition – transformation is revolutionary and agile, companies have to master the coordination of micro projects (scalable), fast execution (startup mentality), new leadership (engagement) and open-ended solutions (fail fast).

Digital Transformation: The second industrial revolution:
The first industrial revolution was the change from agriculture to industrial. Daniel Ricardo claimed that industrial will replace the workspace and lead to more wealth for workers. With digital transformation, we will not only change the workspace (labour), we change the work content (education). Daniel Ricardo has corrected his economic adaption theory, change in workspace will only produce more wealth if education improves. We move from a doing (get work done) to a learning (learn how to work smarter not harder) industry, where robots do the work and workers train the robots. Digital scenarios predict, a more than 50% replacement of existing workplaces in the next 5 years, with less than 20% new work opportunities, resulting in poverty for lost jobs and wealth for new jobs. The other half of (non digitable) jobs has to fight to protect their income level and move to service jobs.

This industrial revolution will have a huge impact on culture and society, social systems are not prepared for the changes and education is not prepared to improve “speed of learning” and industrial companies are “locked in” with their vertical organizations (supply chain) to change their business model horizontally (cross industry) to address the new competition (Platform economies). Some industrial populations are moving to an aging society, some emerging market populations are growing so fast, that they have to move to places with work, food and housing (migration). The financial systems are collapsing, feeding the wrong industries and supporting inequality (less rich more poor people).

Consumers shift from ownership to share economies, companies move to low tax countries, governments have to protect the environment (global warming) all at the same time.

Digital will move wealth from land, money and resources to data! AI is the new buzzword, to increase power (Machine Learning, Neuro-Networks, Robots, …), wealth (see Google, Amazon, Facebook, UBER, Airbnb) and control (AR/VR, Cyber Security, i.e. Social points in China). With digital, productivity can improve dramatically – only if business transforms!

Leading companies are struggling!
Looking at some former participants in the Global Forum and comparing with the 2019 attendees, we see the transformation:

GE was considered “too Big to Fail”, now GE is in the biggest transformation in history – GE was the highest valued company in 1990, now it fights to survive. GE was one of the fastest learning companies, highly innovative, financially profitable and fast growing – with the digital transformation GE is cutting business lines, laying off their workers, changing to become a software company and in the last 5 years facing the biggest financial losses in GE’s history.

Boeing another Global Forum supporter is facing a dramatic failure with the new 737 Max line, due to Software system failures impacting the whole business – partners change orders (Airlines), consumers cancel flights for security reasons, airports are stopping landings and the regulators stop production.

Another Industry is Automotive. Daimler, BMW, VW is challenged by environmental issues (reduce CO2, Diesel), innovation (electrical cars, TESLA) and consumer preferences (Car sharing, UBER) and mobility issues (autonomous driving). None of the mentioned companies send their leaders to learn about new business opportunities and challenges.

Banks or IBM, HP. Even IT industry is driving the change, high competition, new players, workplaces shifting to digital Unicorns. Are they in action learning mode?

New attendees are from Business Schools, NGOs, Political Parties, Logistics, Asian-participants, showing the shift to new economies.

Digital Wakeup call
Only 2 out of 10 companies are truly digitally transformed, most of them are startups (Unicorns). Markets shift faster: >40% of commerce is internet based, >80% products and services are digitally driven. That leaves 80% of companies still living in their classic business structures and processes.
If they fail to transform or transform to late, to slow or not at all, will lock them out from new business opportunities. The time window for digital transformation is closing fast!

Improve leadership (engagement), involve clients (business model), build new partnerships (co-create), educate (work 4.0), innovate (startup) use platforms (scaling), safe energy (sustainable) and transform your organization (processes and culture).

Business Driven Action Learning:

Outside-In not Inside-Out: Be it new ideas, or new competitors, future trends, etc., everything that matters starts outside of your organization.

Arenas not Industries: If you are a hostage to a legacy view of industry, you are making yourself vulnerable to disruptive surprise.

Together not Alone: Because the world is too complicated for any one organization to have sufficient range of expertise domains, co-creating with others is no longer an option, it is a necessity.

 

 

Action learning on the shores of coma…

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Here is a joyful greeting to all of you wonderful people that I have met in connection with the Global Forums on Action Learning during 20 years. As you may know, I fell seriously ill two years ago – overnight and due to an allergic reaction to a blood pressure medicine that I had used without problems for 8 years. Following 6 months in hospital, one of which in coma, 3 in intensive care, I have not been able to participate in GFs since then. Alas.

However, your concern and good wishes from those days are often remembered. Today life is good again – so even though some permanent damages have impacted my health, I feel happier and more content than ever. The photo shows me recovered – together with my fabulous wife, Annette. Although I am not able to join you in Paris, I hope that you will have a great Forum and will be faced with a lot of interesting learning and intellectual challenges.

Pardon me now, but as a dedicated believer in action learning, I cannot help reflecting on some of the things that I experienced when being hospitalized ‘on the shores of coma’. Luckily coma/intensive care is not a learning environment normally experienced by most of us. But nevertheless very interesting, I realised. Allow me to share a few action learnings from that:

Well, as a paralyzed patient in intensive care it was for me not at all very action-oriented at the start. All the action was happening with me, around me, but not by me. An unusual situation to be in – far from previous hectic workdays and high activity level. But in a strange way also calming and comforting – being totally free of liability and fully in the hands of good family and professionals. Imagine that – totally free of liability.

However, as I gradually got out of the coma, and became less ‘delir’, a lot of learning began to build. ‘Delir’ describes the situation where you - heavily medicated - have really severe difficulties in distinguishing what is fantasy and what is reality around you. In my ‘delir’, for instance, I often insisted on speaking German to certain nurses – God knows why. As weeks went by, the less ‘delir’ I was and the more “relevant” I apparently became. “Relevant” is nurse-lingo for being able to communicate in a rational way.

All the health care professionals, I happened to meet during my hospitalization, were in general friendly, professional and supportive. So the flaws, we experienced, turned out to be more linked to the system than to the persons. In that respect my fabulous wife actually turned out to be life-saving for me. Without her I would have departed a couple of times, simply because it takes some bold stamina to help the health system connecting its own synapses across silos. A classical situation was when a doctor on the night-shift once said to my wife: “I think we should do A with Geert in order to avoid the worst”. My wife had to raise her voice and concern loud and clear: “But doctor xx from the day-shift said that B would be the solution – please confer with him before you decide anything at all”. It then turned out that actually not A or B but C was the agreed and proper solution. It is of course comforting that good doctors are able to change opinions – on the other hand also scary that it takes a persistent relative to have them do so. I really pity patients in the system who do not have strong family or friends to defend their case or who is, for whatever reason, alone and short on consciousness and vocabulary.

Another learning – scaring, but also very comforting in a way – was to realize that the world actually moved on, even though I was not actively on board. Surroundings continued to develop and unfold despite my absence. Imagine that - the world seemed to be able to continue without me being there. Lesson learned.

When slowly getting back to a new set-up in my life, I was offered a lot of lifelines in the mental recovery process. An experienced and empathetic nurse from the very start encouraged my wife to keep a brief diary of what happened with and around me during my “blurry months”. And the nurses themselves presented me later on at a meeting with a detailed diary where they, page by page, day by day, detail by detail, had described for me what each day contained for me personally while in coma, e.g. massage, lift, more oxygen, who won the Paris-Roubaix cycle race, visits and so on. I was very touched being presented with that. Today, at intervals, I still consult both of these dear, written sources and they function as a kind of anchor and balm in my ongoing re-ignition.

The very best part of my story is that during my hospital stay I gradually moved from being treated as “hot” to being treated as “not”. For 3-4 months the doctors struggled with what was my diagnosis? Nobody knew, but everybody desperately wanted to. It goes without saying that the one doctor who could establish the correct diagnosis, also had a fair chance of having an article published in The Lancet. So I was really “hot” in the hospital system in those heydays – loads of clinical tests conducted and loads of doctors buzzing around me. As months went by - without a solid diagnosis – it turned out that I became more and more “not” – probably because I remained there as an embarrassing reminder of the boundaries of doctors’ almighty competence.

When I was finally moved to physical rehabilitation for 3 months outside the hospital, the prevailing diagnostic theory was that I suffered from an allergic autoimmune multiorgan/lung fibrosis - where the prognosis was that half of the patients would die within two years. The rest within five.

By beginning of 2019 it was concluded that I more likely suffered from a different disease - where half of the patients would die within 2-3 months, while the rest would find their way in life going forward, one way or the other. Since I - by far - had survived the first 2-3 months of my illness it was evident that I belonged to the ‘survivor category’ of that disease.

The result is that no article in The Lancet was ever written about me and my case. I can live with that - and I most certainly intend to do so with great gratitude.

Have a wonderful Global Forum in Paris :)

Kindest regards
Geert Egger

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